OLGA DECEMBER 13, 2007

You can see that Olga, now quite depressed since she's lost her tropical storm status, will turn toward the north later today and enter the Straits of Florida on Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center.  What she decides to do in the Gulf of Mexico is entirely up to her, willful thing that she is.  I imagine the story of this storm will continue for a time.  And answering the Yogi question above, he probably would say, "It ain't over til it's over."


                       

               TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND PROBABILITIES

The above is another useful graphic from the NHC that shows the probability of tropical storm force winds throughout the area of its possible path.  According to the color bar on the bottom about 7%.  However there has been lots of rain in the last few days and at least 13 people have been killed in the Dominican Republic which shares the island of Hispaniola with Hati.  Hati has a poor communication network and we may not know how many folks were affected there for months.  This has not been a nothing storm for those involved in mudslides and flooding incidents.


                        

                                   OLGA'S WIND HISTORY

The above NHC graphic shows the actual wind history of Tropical Storm Olga.
The areas shown on the map include Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and eastern Cuba,  all of which endured tropical storm force winds.  Note that those winds were in the right dangerous semicircle of the storm.  See the Hurricane Page on this site for more on hurricane anatomy.

Below is the last statement from the NHC on Olga.


  TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU DEC 13 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 77.6W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 77.6W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 77.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.0N 80.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.0N 82.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.5N 83.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 85.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.0N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 77.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER AVILA

Comment by JB:

Perhaps this is the last blog entry this year on active hurricanes but as we've mentioned before, IT AIN'T OVER TIL IT'S OVER.  Take the time now to prepare for what's to come.  Plan for the future with HURRICANE FINDER, a device that may save your life when electronics fail.

That's that for this.


                                          Take care,


                                      JB


  

               ALWAYS WATCHING OUT FOR YOU